Prediction is hard

| Science and technology

Some interesting things I learned today on my road to a successful career in data science:

  • Correlation does not imply causation.
  • If X predicts Y it does not mean that X causes Y.
  • Prediction is hard, especially about the future.
  • Causal relationships are usually identified as average effects, but may not apply to every individual.
  • The most important thing in data science is the question, the second most important is the data.
  • Often the data will limit or enable the questions, but having data alone won't save you if you don't have a question.
  • Beware of data dredging.

data-science-coursera.png
Data Science Specialization

"The data may not contain the answer. The combination of some data and an aching desire for an answer does not ensure that a reasonable answer can be extracted from a given body of data... no matter how big the data are."

Random entries

Here are some random entries that you might be interested in:

Recent Assets

  • Screenshot from 2026-05-09 10-07-03.png
  • IMG-20260508-WA0009.png
  • 600x_378254d5803ec0e45c0f41a9437ac662.png
  • ABC-earlydays-560x396.jpg
  • game-programming-in-c++.png
  • computer-graphics-programming-in-opengl-with-c++.png
  • beginning-c++23.png
  • ai-for-games.png
  • spongebob-spongebob-squarepants.gif
  • what-is-your-age.png
  • new-zealand.png
  • lots-of-snow.png

Golf Handicap

Information

This personal weblog was started way back on July 21, 2001 which means that it is 7-21-2001 old.

So far this blog contains no less than 2564 entries and as many as 1877 comments.

Important events

Graduated from Stanford 6-5-1979 ago.

Kiffin Rockwell was shot down and killed 9-23-1916 ago.

Believe it or not but I am 10-11-1957 young.

First met Thea in Balestrand, Norway 6-14-1980 ago.

Began well-balanced and healthy life style 1-8-2013 ago.

My father passed away 10-20-2000 ago.

My mother passed away 3-27-2018 ago.

Started Gishtech 04-25-2016 ago.